Melfi vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 2
ASM
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 4
PAG
34%
27%
40%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SIR
3 - 1
ASM
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 2
FIA
27%
27%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FON
2 - 1
ASM
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCC
3 - 1
MAT
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 0
AKR
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
FCC
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |