Melfi vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 2
TRA
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FON
3 - 2
ASM
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
POM
1 - 0
ASM
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 1
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
NEA
1 - 3
ASM
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 2
LAT
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NEA
3 - 0
FCC
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
TRA
2 - 1
FCC
81%
14%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FCC
0 - 2
POM
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ACI
1 - 0
FCC
30%
27%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |