Melfi vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
25.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SSC
2 - 3
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ASM
0 - 1
PES
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASM
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 1
MON
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 0
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASN
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SSS
1 - 0
FCC
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
FCC
0 - 1
REA
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
VIG
2 - 2
FCC
47%
28%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASC
46%
28%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |