Melfi vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SSC
0 - 0
ASM
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 4
VIG
38%
26%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ASM
2 - 0
SOR
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
USV
4 - 2
ASM
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 4
FCI
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCC
2 - 1
NOC
66%
22%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
BEN
1 - 0
FCC
44%
30%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
FCC
2 - 2
FCI
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SOR
2 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
19%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
FCC
0 - 0
USV
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |