Melfi vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
USF
2 - 2
ASM
79%
15%
7%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 2
TUT
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
ASM
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 0
GAV
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
APR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 3
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
VIG
47%
27%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
USF
1 - 0
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |