Melfi vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
ASM
57%
24%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 2
FOL
14%
20%
65%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
TER
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
ASM
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAM
73%
19%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
CHI
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 1
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PON
0 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 1
CHI
87%
10%
3%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | -1 |