Melfi vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 1
FCI
45%
27%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
ASM
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 2
SSB
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASA
4 - 2
ASM
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 2
ACI
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
BAC
1 - 0
BRI
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BRI
4 - 1
GEL
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 1
BRI
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 1
MAT
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ISC
1 - 0
BRI
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |