Melfi vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
ASM
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
APR
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PON
1 - 2
ASM
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
SAL
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ASM
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
FON
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOR
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 1
GAV
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
CAM
69%
19%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
BOR
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |