Melfi vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.1%
76.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASM
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 2
VIG
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ASM
2 - 4
FCC
15%
27%
58%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
USF
0 - 0
ASM
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 0
ISC
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
81%
15%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
LRO
1 - 1
BEN
13%
22%
66%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
USF
79%
16%
6%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 3
BEN
11%
20%
70%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
FCC
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |