Melfi vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 1
ASM
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
PES
0 - 0
ASM
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 0
TUR
43%
26%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASM
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ASM
3 - 1
SSC
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
FCI
56%
27%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PES
1 - 0
BEN
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BEN
3 - 1
REA
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SSS
0 - 4
BEN
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASC
45%
30%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |