Melfi vs ASD HinterReggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
APR
2 - 0
ASM
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 1
PON
20%
25%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
ASM
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 1
LAQ
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 2
VIG
58%
24%
19%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
USP
0 - 0
ASD
48%
26%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 1
FOL
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
ASD
50%
26%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |