Lega Pro Relegation Playoffs Final
Global 1-1
Melfi vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 3
MAT
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
USF
1 - 0
ASM
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 0
TAR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MES
3 - 4
ASM
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ASM
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
AKR
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 3
JUS
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
1 - 0
AKR
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
CAS
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 2
PAG
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |