Melfi vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
ASM
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCC
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 2
ASM
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 4
PAG
34%
27%
40%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SIR
3 - 1
ASM
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
MAT
25%
25%
51%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 2
AKR
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 0
AKR
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AKR
0 - 1
USF
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 0
AKR
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |