Melfi vs AC Isola Liri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FCC
1 - 2
ASM
60%
24%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ASM
0 - 0
ASN
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SSC
0 - 0
ASM
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 0
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 0
ASM
61%
24%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AC Isola Liri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ACI
1 - 0
USV
36%
27%
37%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SSM
4 - 1
ACI
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASA
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SSB
2 - 0
ACI
68%
19%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ACI
3 - 2
VAL
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |