AS Megrine vs AS Ariana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1381%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Megrine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
SPO
3 - 4
ASM
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
ASM
1 - 0
CRO
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
CSH
0 - 0
ASM
55%
23%
21%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
RAD
1 - 8
ASM
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASM
1 - 1
ASD
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
ASA
0 - 1
OUE
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
MOK
2 - 1
ASA
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ASA
0 - 1
JEN
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 0
ASA
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ASA
2 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |