AS Marsa vs ES Métlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
8º
7º
20
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASD
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
3 - 1
TAT
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 1
ASD
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
BEN
26%
30%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
ASD
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
TAT
0 - 0
ETO
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
CAB
40%
31%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
USM
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
ASS
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ETO
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |