AS Marsa vs ES Métlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
12º
13º
9
5º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TAT
1 - 0
ASD
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 0
CAB
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
USM
3 - 1
ASD
61%
25%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
CSS
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 0
ASD
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 1
CAB
49%
29%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
USM
3 - 2
ETO
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
CSS
46%
30%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 2
ETO
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
TAT
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |