AS Marsa vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
52.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
12º
13º
32
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
ASD
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 3
USM
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CSS
3 - 0
ASD
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 1
ETO
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TAT
1 - 0
ASD
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ALH
3 - 1
ESP
10%
18%
72%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
ETO
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 2
ESP
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 2
ESP
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
USM
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |