AS Marsa vs AS Ariana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASM
1 - 1
ASD
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ASD
3 - 0
MBO
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ESH
1 - 1
ASD
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 1
MOK
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
JEN
3 - 0
ASD
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ASA
2 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
RAD
2 - 3
ASA
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 2
CSH
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ASA
5 - 2
KAL
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |