AS Marsa vs AS Ariana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 0
ASD
27%
29%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
ZAR
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
2 - 2
ASD
35%
30%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
OUE
2 - 0
ASD
22%
29%
49%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
ESJ
71%
20%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 0
SPO
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 0
OLY
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
ASA
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SEL
3 - 0
ASA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ASA
0 - 0
MED
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |