AS Marsa vs AS Ariana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
TAT
3 - 1
ASD
46%
30%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
MED
2 - 0
ASD
15%
20%
66%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -3 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CSH
0 - 1
ASD
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
JSK
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TAT
0 - 0
ASD
45%
30%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
ASA
0 - 2
SFA
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 1
SNA
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JEN
2 - 1
ASA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ASA
4 - 3
CRO
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 2
SFA
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |