La Chataigneraie vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
8º
3º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 2
ASC
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 2
ESO
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
ASC
53%
21%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
ASC
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 2
LAT
43%
22%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 0
ESO
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
PAU
3%
8%
89%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAT
2 - 0
SPG
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
3 - 0
THO
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 0
ANG
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |