La Chataigneraie vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
86.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.5%
0-5
6.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.6%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 1
ASC
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SNC
0 - 3
ASC
10%
15%
76%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
FON
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ESO
4 - 3
ASC
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 0
ASS
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 2
LOR
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 2
MPL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
NAN
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
LOR
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OSA
1 - 1
LOR
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |