AS Kigali vs APR FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
4º
63
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ASK
4 - 2
KIY
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASK
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 0
ASK
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
ASK
4 - 0
RWA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
ASK
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 0
APR
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MUK
0 - 0
APR
48%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
APR
2 - 2
KIY
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
APR
3 - 2
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
APR
1 - 0
GFC
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |