AS Kasserine vs US Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kasserine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ENS
0 - 0
LAN
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ESH
1 - 0
LAN
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LAN
3 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EMM
0 - 1
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 0
OUE
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
OUE
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ESH
1 - 0
BEN
60%
24%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ENS
1 - 1
BEN
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
GRO
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |