AS Gubbio 1910 vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
ASG
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ACS
0 - 1
ASG
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ASG
3 - 0
VOL
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GHI
0 - 0
ASG
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ASG
0 - 1
USP
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SSD
0 - 0
USP
28%
27%
44%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SCA
3 - 3
SSD
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 3
GHI
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SSD
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
MAS
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |