AS Gubbio 1910 vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
60.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
BV5
1 - 2
ASG
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ASG
0 - 1
VFC
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
ASG
44%
28%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASG
1 - 2
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ASG
0 - 0
VIN
61%
23%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ASL
3 - 2
FCC
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
ASL
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ASL
0 - 5
NOC
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VIN
1 - 2
ASL
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ACG
3 - 4
ASL
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | -1 |