AS Gubbio 1910 vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASG
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ASG
1 - 3
REG
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
6 - 0
ASG
85%
12%
4%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ASG
2 - 3
ASC
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
ASG
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 1
ABN
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 2
LIV
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
VAR
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
CRO
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |