AS Gosier vs Sporting Baie-Mahault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
12º
7º
23
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 33 |
3º
|
81.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
76.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
76.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
76.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 11 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Gosier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 1
ASG
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ASG
0 - 4
CSM
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 0
ASG
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ASG
1 - 0
RSG
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CER
1 - 2
ASG
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Baie-Mahault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CBM
0 - 3
JEE
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIE
0 - 1
CBM
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CER
2 - 1
CBM
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
CBM
3 - 1
CSC
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
CBM
1 - 0
VIE
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |