AS Figline vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Figline
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
ASF
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 1
PRG
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASF
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 2
ASF
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASF
4 - 2
FOL
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 2
FOL
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
USC
1 - 0
PAG
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 0
LEC
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 2
NOV
23%
28%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAG
52%
27%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |