CAF Champions League 1/16
Global 6-5
AS Faso/Yennenga vs ASPAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Faso/Yennenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ASP
1 - 1
ASF
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
RAI
1 - 0
ASF
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 1
ASF
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ASF
2 - 1
SON
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
ASF
1 - 0
USC
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ASP
1 - 1
ASF
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ASP
4 - 0
BUF
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AKA
0 - 0
ASP
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ASP
0 - 2
POL
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ADJ
0 - 0
ASP
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |