Dynamo Le Moule vs Sporting Baie-Mahault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
8º
1º
18
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Le Moule
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIE
3 - 0
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ASD
5 - 0
CSC
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CER
1 - 2
ASD
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CBM
2 - 1
ASD
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 1
RSG
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Baie-Mahault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CBM
2 - 0
STL
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
CBM
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CBM
3 - 3
SIR
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CBM
2 - 1
ASD
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 1
CBM
35%
23%
41%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |