ASPAC vs Aziza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 0
ASC
43%
27%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EFO
0 - 1
ASP
17%
24%
58%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 0
CSO
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RAT
2 - 0
ASP
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 1
AFC
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Aziza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EFO
1 - 0
UPI
12%
18%
71%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
UPI
1 - 2
CSO
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RAT
0 - 0
UPI
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
UPI
1 - 1
AFC
79%
13%
7%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
UPI
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |