ASPAC vs Aziza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 1
ASP
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
ASP
0 - 0
SEM
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
ASP
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 1
JEU
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ASO
0 - 1
ASP
30%
29%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aziza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 0
UPI
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
UPI
1 - 1
DRA
36%
27%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SEM
2 - 2
UPI
54%
25%
21%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UPI
2 - 2
POL
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 0
UPI
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |