ASPAC vs Aziza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASP
1 - 1
POL
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ASP
3 - 1
ASV
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -10 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ASP
2 - 0
AYE
24%
27%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UPI
1 - 1
ASP
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 1
TON
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aziza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
UPI
2 - 0
RSP
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PAN
3 - 2
UPI
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UPI
1 - 1
ASP
35%
25%
41%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SEM
1 - 1
UPI
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 1
UPI
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |