ASPAC vs Tonnerre FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ENE
3 - 1
ASP
46%
28%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ASP
2 - 2
JEU
56%
26%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
RSP
0 - 1
ASP
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
BEK
1 - 1
ASP
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
ASP
0 - 0
PAN
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tonnerre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
ADJ
0 - 0
TON
51%
29%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
TON
1 - 1
JSP
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PAN
1 - 1
TON
55%
27%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
TON
0 - 0
BUF
32%
32%
36%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
RSP
1 - 1
TON
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |