ASPAC vs Tonnerre FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 1
ASP
34%
30%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ASP
2 - 1
BUF
48%
28%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
TON
0 - 1
ASP
45%
29%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +11 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ASP
0 - 2
AYE
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BUF
2 - 0
ASP
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tonnerre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
BUF
1 - 0
TON
38%
29%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TON
2 - 1
PAN
43%
29%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
TON
0 - 1
ASP
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +10 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TON
0 - 0
BUF
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AGO
1 - 0
TON
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |