ASPAC vs Tonnerre FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
JEU
1 - 0
ASP
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
ASP
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
ASO
0 - 1
ASP
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ASP
0 - 1
PAN
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ASP
2 - 1
MOG
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tonnerre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
TON
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TON
0 - 1
JEU
47%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TON
1 - 1
SEM
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TON
1 - 1
PAN
45%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ASO
2 - 2
TON
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |