ASPAC vs Sitatunga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 0
AVR
60%
24%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
UPI
0 - 0
ASP
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ASP
4 - 0
DRA
45%
28%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
SEM
0 - 2
ASP
47%
28%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ASP
0 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sitatunga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 3
UPI
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 0
SFC
37%
24%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 0
SEM
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
POL
0 - 4
SFC
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 0
JEU
61%
20%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |