CAF Champions League Last 16
Global 2-5
ASPAC vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
72.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
5 - 0
ASP
91%
7%
2%
|
35 | 72 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DMO
1 - 1
ASP
79%
14%
6%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 0
DMO
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 0
SEM
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
2 - 1
CIF
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
5 - 0
ASP
91%
7%
2%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ETO
5 - 1
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
CSH
0 - 1
ESP
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
ASD
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 1
ESP
33%
30%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |