CAF Champions League 1/16
Global 2-1
ASPAC vs Deportivo Mongomo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 0
SEM
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
2 - 1
CIF
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 0
ASP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
ASP
1 - 1
BUF
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
DAB
0 - 0
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |