ASPAC vs CIFAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 0
ASP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
ASP
1 - 1
BUF
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
DAB
0 - 0
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ASP
2 - 0
MOG
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SFC
0 - 0
ASP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CIFAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
CIF
3 - 0
SEM
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
CIF
2 - 0
JEU
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CIF
1 - 1
MOG
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CIF
3 - 1
SFC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
RAT
1 - 1
CIF
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |