ASPAC vs Buffles de Borgou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
ASP
0 - 1
BEK
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
POL
0 - 1
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
ASP
2 - 1
PAN
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
BUF
1 - 2
ASP
47%
28%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ASP
3 - 1
TON
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Buffles de Borgou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
POL
0 - 2
BUF
51%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
BUF
1 - 1
TON
46%
27%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
BUF
3 - 0
PAN
44%
27%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TON
1 - 0
BUF
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
BUF
1 - 2
ASP
47%
28%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |