ASPAC vs Buffles de Borgou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
23.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
TON
0 - 1
ASP
45%
29%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ASP
0 - 2
AYE
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BUF
2 - 0
ASP
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ASO
0 - 2
ASP
47%
27%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 0
BEK
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Buffles de Borgou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 1
BUF
46%
29%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TON
0 - 0
BUF
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BUF
2 - 0
ASP
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AGO
1 - 1
BUF
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BUF
2 - 0
ASO
45%
27%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |