ASPAC vs Buffles de Borgou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
ASP
0 - 1
ASO
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
ASP
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ASP
0 - 0
AYE
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
AVR
1 - 0
ASP
41%
28%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAN
2 - 0
ASP
47%
27%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Buffles de Borgou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
BUF
1 - 0
TON
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ASO
0 - 1
BUF
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
BUF
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SEM
0 - 1
BUF
53%
25%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
AYE
0 - 0
BUF
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |