ASPAC vs Buffles de Borgou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
DRA
0 - 3
ASP
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SFC
1 - 2
ASP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 1
ASP
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 0
TON
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASP
2 - 0
ESP
10%
18%
73%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | -3 |
Matches
Buffles de Borgou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ADJ
0 - 0
BUF
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 1
BUF
51%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AVR
0 - 0
BUF
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BUF
0 - 0
ASO
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
JEU
1 - 0
BUF
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |