ASPAC vs Buffles de Borgou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
DAB
0 - 0
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ASP
2 - 0
MOG
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SFC
0 - 0
ASP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ASP
2 - 1
RAT
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
TON
1 - 1
ASP
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Buffles de Borgou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PAN
0 - 1
BUF
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
BUF
1 - 0
AVR
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SEM
3 - 2
BUF
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BUF
1 - 1
CIF
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
SFC
2 - 1
BUF
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |