ASPAC vs Ayema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SEM
0 - 0
ASP
47%
28%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 0
LPF
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ASP
3 - 2
POL
60%
22%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 4
ASP
54%
27%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 0
EFO
72%
18%
11%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ayema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AYE
1 - 0
RAT
45%
27%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 2
AYE
49%
26%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AYE
2 - 1
DFC
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
JEU
2 - 0
AYE
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AYE
1 - 0
JSP
40%
26%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |