CAF Champions League 1/16
Global 5-6
ASPAC vs AS Faso/Yennenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ASP
4 - 0
BUF
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AKA
0 - 0
ASP
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ASP
0 - 2
POL
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ADJ
0 - 0
ASP
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 0
ASP
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Faso/Yennenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
RAI
1 - 0
ASF
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 1
ASF
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ASF
2 - 1
SON
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
ASF
1 - 0
USC
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
ASF
2 - 0
EDS
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |