ASPAC vs ESAE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ENE
0 - 3
ASP
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
ASP
1 - 0
AYE
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 0
ASP
28%
31%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BEK
1 - 0
ASP
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
ASO
0 - 1
ASP
31%
30%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ESAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
ADJ
1 - 0
ASV
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SEM
0 - 0
ADJ
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ADJ
0 - 0
DAB
43%
24%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ADJ
0 - 1
UPI
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
ADJ
0 - 1
DRA
47%
28%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |